PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 Hamburger SV · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hamburger SV won 0–2.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.531.48
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hamburger SV beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Hamburger SV): shots 20–14, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.53–1.48, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shots1. FC Heidenheim 20 shots, Hamburger SV 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shots1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots, Hamburger SV 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG1.48 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.53 xG, Hamburger SV 1.48 xG
  • Possession48%52%1. FC Heidenheim 48%, Hamburger SV 52%
  • Corners10 corners8 corners1. FC Heidenheim 10 corners, Hamburger SV 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 6 fouls, Hamburger SV 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cards1. FC Heidenheim 0 cards, Hamburger SV 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBakery Jatta · Hamburger SV · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Otele · Hamburger SV · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolai Remberg · Hamburger SV · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Otele · Hamburger SV · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuka Vušković · Hamburger SV · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Philippe · Hamburger SV · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Mikelbrencis · Hamburger SV · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuka Vušković · Hamburger SV · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Gocholeishvili · Hamburger SV · 85′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 5′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRayan Philippe · Hamburger SV · 78′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 20 shots, 4 on target, 1.57 xG. Hamburger SV: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV · 45′Rayan Philippe · Hamburger SV · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.57 xG · Hamburger SV 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
4Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim — Hamburger SV · DFB Pokal0–1
Hamburger SV — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Heidenheim — Hamburger SV · 2. Bundesliga3–3
Hamburger SV — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Hamburger SV — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim21 matchesHamburger SV20 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/20▲ 1.05 goals/match
2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/201.22 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 4.85 shots/match
41.9%Possession21/20● 46.6%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners21/203.85 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards21/202.75 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2012.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimHamburger SV
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — Hamburger SV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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