Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeVoith-ArenaFull-time recap

1. FC Heidenheim

DLDLL

0–2Full-time recap

Hamburger SV

DLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
Shots	20 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	10 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

01. FC Heidenheim

0Draws

2Hamburger SV

28 Oct 20251. FC Heidenheim — Hamburger SV · DFB Pokal0–1

20 Sept 2025Hamburger SV — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Heidenheim favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 7 · 6 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/20▲1.05 goals/match

2.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/20▲1.45 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/20▲13.2 shots/match

15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/20▲13.9 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/20▲4.85 shots/match

5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/20▲4.75 shots/match

41.9%Possessionseason · 21/2046.6%

4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/203.85 corners/match

5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/205 corners/match

1.67 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 21/202.75 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2012.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/20▲30%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Heidenheim8.3

Hamburger SV36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Heidenheim13.9

Hamburger SV50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Heidenheim2.8

Hamburger SV49.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Heidenheim75

Hamburger SV80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim30.6

Hamburger SV91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim47.2

Hamburger SV8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Heidenheim32

Hamburger SV56.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

39.4%Possession5/546.8%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.7 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match

43.9%Possession10/1045.5%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 20 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/20▲1.05 goals/match

2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/20▲1.45 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots21/20▲13.2 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲4.85 shots/match

41.9%Possession21/2046.6%

4.9 corners/matchCorners21/203.85 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards21/202.75 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2012.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches

0.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/100.6 goals/match

2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲1.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots11/1011.6 shots/match

3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲4.1 shots/match

40.8%Possession11/1048.1%

5 corners/matchCorners11/104.1 corners/match

1.27 cards/matchCards11/103 cards/match

9.64 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples21 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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