PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Europa-Park-Stadion

SC Freiburg 1–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 1–0.

Shots
717
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.460.83
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 1–0. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Werder Bremen): shots 7–17, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.46–0.83, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen.

6 days ▲Rest daysSC Freiburg · Werder Bremen7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSC FreiburgWerder BremenBaseline
Rest days6 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsSC Freiburg 7 shots, SV Werder Bremen 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSC Freiburg 2 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG0.83 xGSC Freiburg 0.46 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.83 xG
  • Possession33%67%SC Freiburg 33%, SV Werder Bremen 67%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersSC Freiburg 4 corners, SV Werder Bremen 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsSC Freiburg 9 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardSC Freiburg 0 cards, SV Werder Bremen 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Keke Topp · Werder Bremen · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerry Scherhant · SC Freiburg · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Coulibaly · Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 17′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 13′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJan-Niklas Beste · SC Freiburg · 13′ · 0.15 xG · goalSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG. Werder Bremen: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jan-Niklas Beste · SC Freiburg · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 0.45 xG · Werder Bremen 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SC Freiburg
0Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga5–0
SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–1
SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1
SC Freiburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg21 matchesSV Werder Bremen21 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.05 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.86 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.17 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target21/214.14 shots/match
48.9%Possession21/21● 51.5%
4.38 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.67 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards21/212.52 cards/match
9.76 fouls/matchFouls21/2110 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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