PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeWeserstadionFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWerder BremenBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots18 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession68%32%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen.

3.79 days▲Rest daysWerder Bremen · Borussia Mönchengladbach6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWerder BremenBorussia MönchengladbachBaseline
Rest days3.79 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Werder Bremen
0Draws
0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 4 · 8 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.2 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.65 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2010.9 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2015.4 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/204.05 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/205.6 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 20/2045%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.35 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/205.1 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲1.3 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2011.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲40%
60%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2055%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Werder Bremen58.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Werder Bremen37.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Werder Bremen17.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Werder Bremen52.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen58.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach34.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen30.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Werder Bremen40.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach29.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/541%
5 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1044.4%
5 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/100.7 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.2 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.65 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots20/2010.9 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target20/204.05 shots/match
50.8%Possession20/2045%
4.5 corners/matchCorners20/204.35 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards20/201.3 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
53.9%Possession10/1044.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWerder BremenBorussia Mönchengladbach
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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