PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1.

Shots
187
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.160.9
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen and Borussia Mönchengladbach drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – Borussia Mönchengladbach): shots 18–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.16–0.9, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen.

3.79 days ▲Rest daysWerder Bremen · Borussia Mönchengladbach6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWerder BremenBorussia MönchengladbachBaseline
Rest days3.79 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsSV Werder Bremen 18 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsSV Werder Bremen 6 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.9 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.16 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.9 xG
  • Possession68%32%SV Werder Bremen 68%, Borussia M'gladbach 32%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSV Werder Bremen 7 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsSV Werder Bremen 10 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardSV Werder Bremen 0 cards, Borussia M'gladbach 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Senne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsaac Schmidt · Werder Bremen · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRocco Reitz · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalHaris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOlivier Deman · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarim Coulibaly · Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 20′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIsaac Schmidt · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetHaris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 61′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.19 xG. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Keke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′Haris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.19 xG · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
2Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–4
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–4
Borussia M'gladbach — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–1
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–2
Borussia M'gladbach — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen20 matchesBorussia M'gladbach20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.31 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.9 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target20/204.05 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession20/2045%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners20/204.35 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards20/201.3 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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