PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Tue, 27 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeWeserstadionFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWerder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim
Shots26 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen, 1899 Hoffenheim. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen, 1899 Hoffenheim.

3.21 days▲Rest daysWerder Bremen · 1899 Hoffenheim3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWerder Bremen1899 HoffenheimBaseline
Rest days3.21 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 8 · 6 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲2.11 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.16 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1913.1 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲12.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.95 shots/match
5.95 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲4.11 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 19/1952.9%
4.37 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/195.16 corners/match
5.37 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/195.26 corners/match
2.74 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲2.05 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1914.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲26%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Werder Bremen52.8
1899 Hoffenheim80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Werder Bremen32.4
1899 Hoffenheim80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Werder Bremen11.1
1899 Hoffenheim80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Werder Bremen52.8
1899 Hoffenheim36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen65.2
1899 Hoffenheim80.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen22.2
1899 Hoffenheim63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Werder Bremen33.3
1899 Hoffenheim77.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
54%Possession5/550.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match
51%Possession10/1053.1%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲2.11 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.16 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots19/1913.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.95 shots/match
49.8%Possession19/1952.9%
4.37 corners/matchCorners19/195.16 corners/match
2.74 cards/matchCards19/192.05 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲1.9 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots9/1011.4 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target9/104.3 shots/match
52.3%Possession9/1051.7%
4.56 corners/matchCorners9/104.7 corners/match
3.11 cards/matchCards9/102.4 cards/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls9/1014.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.21 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWerder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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