Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 0–2 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 0–2.

Shots
2712
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.830.61
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

1899 Hoffenheim beat Werder Bremen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – 1899 Hoffenheim): shots 27–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.83–0.61, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen, 1899 Hoffenheim.

3.21 days ▲Rest daysWerder Bremen · 1899 Hoffenheim3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWerder Bremen1899 HoffenheimBaseline
Rest days3.21 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots12 shotsSV Werder Bremen 27 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSV Werder Bremen 3 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.61 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.83 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 0.61 xG
  • Possession58%42%SV Werder Bremen 58%, TSG Hoffenheim 42%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersSV Werder Bremen 6 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsSV Werder Bremen 7 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSV Werder Bremen 2 cards, TSG Hoffenheim 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Stage · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · 1899 Hoffenheim · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrice Čović · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Coulibaly · Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVladimír Coufal · 1899 Hoffenheim · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Prass · 1899 Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Prass · 1899 Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Lemperle · 1899 Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrice Čović · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 54′ · 0.10 xG · goalJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTim Lemperle · 1899 Hoffenheim · 43′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 63′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 27 shots, 3 on target, 1.79 xG. 1899 Hoffenheim: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alexander Prass · 1899 Hoffenheim · 44′Grischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.79 xG · 1899 Hoffenheim 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
4TSG Hoffenheim
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–3
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–4
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen19 matchesTSG Hoffenheim19 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2.11 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots19/1913.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.95 shots/match
49.8%Possession19/19● 53%
4.37 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.16 corners/match
2.74 cards/matchCards19/192.05 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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