PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025BayArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.560.7
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer Leverkusen beat Werder Bremen 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – Werder Bremen): shots 13–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.56–0.7, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer Leverkusen · Werder Bremen12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder BremenBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59% ●PossessionBayer Leverkusen · Werder Bremen49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenWerder BremenBaseline
Possession59%49.3%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 13 shots, SV Werder Bremen 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots, SV Werder Bremen 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.56 xG0.7 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.56 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.7 xG
  • Possession50%50%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 50%, SV Werder Bremen 50%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 corners, SV Werder Bremen 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBayer 04 Leverkusen 2 cards, SV Werder Bremen 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Romano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Malatini · Werder Bremen · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 42′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Bayer Leverkusen · 37′ · 0.38 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 47′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer Leverkusen: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.56 xG. Werder Bremen: 17 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Lucas Vázquez · Bayer Leverkusen · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 2.56 xG · Werder Bremen 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga5–0
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen18 matchesSV Werder Bremen18 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.17 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.94 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.16 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.1 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.06 shots/match
59% ●Possession18/1849.3%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners18/184.28 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards18/182.78 cards/match
8.78 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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