PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeAllianz ArenaFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBayern MünchenFC Augsburg
Shots15 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Possession70%30%
Corners9 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match▲ShotsBayern München · FC Augsburg12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots19.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.42 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.8%▲PossessionBayern München · FC Augsburg45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession67.8%45.1%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bayern München, FC Augsburg.

6.88 days▲Rest daysBayern München · FC Augsburg5.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBayern MünchenFC AugsburgBaseline
Rest days6.88 days5.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bayern München
0Draws
0FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayern München favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 4 too close

3.79 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/191.16 goals/match
0.84 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.89 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/1912.7 shots/match
9.42 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.6 shots/match
8.68 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/194.16 shots/match
2.26 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.58 shots/match
67.8%Possessionseason · 19/1945.1%
6.16 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.37 corners/match
3.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/194.84 corners/match
1.79 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.74 cards/match
8.89 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1916%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1968%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayern München97.2
FC Augsburg13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayern München97.2
FC Augsburg35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayern München97.2
FC Augsburg39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayern München86.1
FC Augsburg80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayern München25
FC Augsburg86.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayern München97.2
FC Augsburg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayern München76.4
FC Augsburg46.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
4.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match
9.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
68.4%Possession5/544.8%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
0.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
6.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
3.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.8 shots/match
8.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.7 shots/match
71.2%Possession10/1043.1%
6.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
7.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
3.79 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.16 goals/match
0.84 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.89 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shots19/1912.7 shots/match
8.68 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.16 shots/match
67.8%Possession19/1945.1%
6.16 corners/matchCorners19/194.37 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards19/192.74 cards/match
8.89 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.11 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.6 shots/match▲Shots10/913.1 shots/match
8.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.89 shots/match
68.8%Possession10/942.7%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/93 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/92.78 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/912.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBayern MünchenFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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