PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 2–0 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · UEFA Champions League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 2–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
3.140.88
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Royale Union Saint-Gilloise): shots 14–5, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 3.14–0.88, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise34.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseBaseline
Possession58.7%34.9%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

weak

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against9.43 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 14 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 4 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.14 xG0.88 xGFC Bayern München 3.14 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.88 xG
  • Possession74%26%FC Bayern München 74%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 26%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 4 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsFC Bayern München 9 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 29′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTom Bischof · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Fuseini · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.15 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 2′ · 0.46 xG · on targetKevin Mac Allister · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 20′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 14 shots, 4 on target, 3.22 xG. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.22 xG · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.86 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München7 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise7 matches
2.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.43 goals/match
2.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.36 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.4 shots/match
7.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/75 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession7/734.9%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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