UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeSt James' ParkFull-time recap

Newcastle United

WWWLD

3–0Full-time recap

PSV Eindhoven

DWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	PSV Eindhoven
Shots	11 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.52 xG/match▲	0.34 xG/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	3 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.44 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.44 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.34 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible away split

weak

PSV Eindhoven's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.75 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	2.14 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 0 · 4 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/72.14 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.62 xG/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/72.08 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.4 shots/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/716.1 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.43 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/75.86 shots/match

49.9%Possessionseason · 7/753.1%

5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75 corners/match

6.43 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/76.29 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.71 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United46.4

PSV Eindhoven72.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United70

PSV Eindhoven35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United62.9

PSV Eindhoven19.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United48.8

PSV Eindhoven6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United10.7

PSV Eindhoven26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United73.8

PSV Eindhoven64.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United52.1

PSV Eindhoven29.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.67 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

51.2%Possession5/551%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/72.14 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.62 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match

49.9%Possession7/753.1%

5.57 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.71 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/72.14 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.62 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match

49.9%Possession7/753.1%

5.57 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.71 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.84 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots4/47.75 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

50.3%Possession4/449.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

PSV Eindhoven have a visible away split

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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