UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeFortuna ArenaFull-time recap
24Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSK Slavia PrahaBarcelona
Shots12 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match12 shots/match
Expected goals1.01 xG/match1.42 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Barcelona · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoony Bardghji · Barcelona · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMichal Sadílek · SK Slavia Praha · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Holeš · SK Slavia Praha · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalFermín López · Barcelona · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRoony Bardghji · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 63′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedŠtěpán Chaloupek · SK Slavia Praha · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.09 xG · goalPedri · Barcelona · 46′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIvan Schranz · SK Slavia Praha · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Chorý · SK Slavia Praha · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · SK Slavia Praha · 44′ · 0.12 xG · goalIvan Schranz · SK Slavia Praha · 66′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVasil Kušej · SK Slavia Praha · 10′ · 0.33 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 70′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SK Slavia Praha: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG. Barcelona: 20 shots, 12 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Vasil Kušej · SK Slavia Praha · 10′Robert Lewandowski · SK Slavia Praha · 44′Fermín López · Barcelona · 34′Fermín López · Barcelona · 42′Dani Olmo · Barcelona · 63′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SK Slavia Praha 1.17 xG · Barcelona 1.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SK Slavia Praha's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SK Slavia Praha's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SK Slavia Praha's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/matchShotsSK Slavia Praha · Barcelona16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSK Slavia PrahaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match16 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%PossessionSK Slavia Praha · Barcelona62.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSK Slavia PrahaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession45.1%62.6%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SK Slavia Praha favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 3 too close

0.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/72.57 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.6 xG/match
2.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.41 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/716 shots/match
16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/710.4 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/76 shots/match
7.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/74.71 shots/match
45.1%Possessionseason · 7/762.6%
3.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.86 corners/match
5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/73.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%
29%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SK Slavia Praha17.9
Barcelona96.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SK Slavia Praha20.6
Barcelona79.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SK Slavia Praha9.5
Barcelona53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SK Slavia Praha56
Barcelona39.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SK Slavia Praha95.2
Barcelona22.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SK Slavia Praha13.1
Barcelona27.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SK Slavia Praha41.1
Barcelona49.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/53 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.72 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/56.8 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/565.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.57 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.6 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots7/716 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/76 shots/match
45.1%Possession7/762.6%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
17 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.57 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.6 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots7/716 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/76 shots/match
45.1%Possession7/762.6%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
17 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.48 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/416.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/46.25 shots/match
45.5%Possession4/460.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/42.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

43 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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