PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
Shots7 shots/match25 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Possession28%72%
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Barcelona19.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadBarcelonaBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match19.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match9.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.35 corners/match▲CornersReal Sociedad · Barcelona7.15 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadBarcelonaBaseline
Corners6.35 corners/match7.15 corners/match4.8 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.8%▲PossessionReal Sociedad · Barcelona68.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadBarcelonaBaseline
Possession50.8%68.6%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
0Draws
1Barcelona
Barcelona — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 8 · 5 too close

1.3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲2.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲19.9 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲9.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲7.55 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/203.8 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 20/2068.6%
6.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/207.15 corners/match
4.3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/204.65 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCardsseason · 20/20▲1.75 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/209.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/20▲35%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad67.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad70.8
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad52.5
Barcelona84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad67.5
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad85
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad81.9
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/572.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/59.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.9 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.3 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.8 shots/match
49.7%Possession10/1066.7%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲2.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShots20/20▲19.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲7.55 shots/match
50.8%Possession20/2068.6%
6.35 corners/matchCorners20/207.15 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards20/201.75 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls20/209.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/11▲2.36 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots10/11▲19.3 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲7.45 shots/match
51.2%Possession10/1169.2%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/117 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/112.45 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/119.64 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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