La Liga · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LDDWW

3–1Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

WDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Celta Vigo
Shots	10 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad

1Draws

0Celta Vigo

19 Oct 2025Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 3 · 8 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/211.38 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.1 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/2110.7 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2112.4 shots/match

4.95 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/214.1 shots/match

3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.29 shots/match

50%Possessionseason · 21/2150%

6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/214.1 corners/match

4.52 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/214.71 corners/match

2.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/21▲2.05 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲29%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2186%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad60

Celta Vigo60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad70.8

Celta Vigo47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad51.7

Celta Vigo63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5

Celta Vigo12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad65

Celta Vigo30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad82.5

Celta Vigo32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad78.8

Celta Vigo35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.2 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/547.6%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match

48.2%Possession10/1047.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.38 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲1.1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.3 shots/match▲Shots21/2110.7 shots/match

4.95 shots/match▲Shots on target21/214.1 shots/match

50%Possession21/2150%

6.14 corners/matchCorners21/214.1 corners/match

2.29 cards/matchCards21/212.05 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101.3 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots11/1010.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target11/104.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession11/1047.1%

6.18 corners/matchCorners11/103.5 corners/match

2.18 cards/matchCards11/102.2 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1013 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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