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Real Sociedad 3–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Sociedad won 3–1.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.611.22
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Sociedad beat Celta Vigo 3–1. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo): shots 10–17, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.61–1.22, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsReal Sociedad 10 shots, Celta Vigo 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsReal Sociedad 4 shots, Celta Vigo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG1.22 xGReal Sociedad 1.61 xG, Celta Vigo 1.22 xG
  • Possession36%64%Real Sociedad 36%, Celta Vigo 64%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersReal Sociedad 2 corners, Celta Vigo 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsReal Sociedad 7 fouls, Celta Vigo 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardReal Sociedad 1 card, Celta Vigo 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 17′ · 0.06 xG · goalJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.08 xG · goalOrri Steinn Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJon Martin · Real Sociedad · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.22 xG · goalBryan Zaragoza · Celta Vigo · 1′ · 0.25 xG · on targetLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 37′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG. Celta Vigo: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 17′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 75′Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 90′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.62 xG · Celta Vigo 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Sociedad
2Draws
2Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 2 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad21 matchesCelta Vigo21 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.31 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.7 shots/match
4.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.1 shots/match
50%Possession21/21● 50%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners21/214.1 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards21/212.05 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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