La Liga · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

LLDLL
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlavesReal Betis
Shots17 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/matchShotsAlaves · Real Betis15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlavesReal BetisBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match15 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Alaves
0Draws
1Real Betis
Real BetisAlaves · La Liga10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 6 · 6 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/211.62 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/211.29 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2115 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2112.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/215.05 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/214.38 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 21/2150.3%
5.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/214.76 corners/match
4.76 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/215.43 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/212 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2110.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2133%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2190%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves52.5
Real Betis67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves32.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves60.8
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves32.5
Real Betis87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves77.5
Real Betis13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves57.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves57.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.2 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/552.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1015.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1048.6%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.62 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.29 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.5 shots/matchShots21/2115 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target21/215.05 shots/match
49.8%Possession21/2150.3%
5.14 corners/matchCorners21/214.76 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards21/212 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.27 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.6 shots/matchShots11/1113.8 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target11/114.36 shots/match
50.7%Possession11/1149.7%
5.73 corners/matchCorners11/114.82 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/112.09 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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