La Liga · 2025Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

Alaves

LDLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolAlaves
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Espanyol
0Draws
1Alaves
AlavesEspanyol · La Liga21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 1 · 7 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/220.91 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.23 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2211.5 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2212.5 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/223.82 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/223.86 shots/match
42.1%Possessionseason · 22/2249.8%
4.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225 corners/match
4.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/224.73 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/222.36 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2215 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2214%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2264%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol12.5
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol55.8
Alaves34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol55
Alaves61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol92.5
Alaves27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol52.5
Alaves75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol42.5
Alaves57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol57.5
Alaves58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/550.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
42%Possession10/1048%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored22/220.91 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.23 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots22/2211.5 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target22/223.82 shots/match
42.1%Possession22/2249.8%
4.41 corners/matchCorners22/225 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards22/222.36 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2215 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/110.55 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/111.45 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.3 shots/matchShots12/1110.4 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/113.45 shots/match
42.9%Possession12/1148.9%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/114.27 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/112.55 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1114.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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