PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal · La Liga

Osasuna

WDLWW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna and Villarreal drew 2–2.

Shots
155
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.120.92
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna and Villarreal drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Villarreal): shots 15–5, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.12–0.92, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsOsasuna 15 shots, Villarreal 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsOsasuna 5 shots, Villarreal 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.92 xGOsasuna 1.12 xG, Villarreal 0.92 xG
  • Possession47%53%Osasuna 47%, Villarreal 53%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersOsasuna 6 corners, Villarreal 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsOsasuna 15 fouls, Villarreal 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsOsasuna 2 cards, Villarreal 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Osasuna · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 70′ · 0.04 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 31′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 86′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.15 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 20′ · 0.18 xG · goalJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.15 xG. Villarreal: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Víctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 20′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 45′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 17′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.15 xG · Villarreal 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Osasuna
2Draws
3Villarreal
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga4–2
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga2–2
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna22 matchesVillarreal21 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 4.62 shots/match
45.2% ●Possession22/2144%
3.18 corners/matchCorners22/21● 4.1 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards22/212.48 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2112.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headOsasuna — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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