PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

WDLWW
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaVillarreal
Shots15 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
0Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 7 · 6 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/21▲1.86 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/21▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/21▲12.3 shots/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2113.2 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/21▲4.62 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/21▲3.62 shots/match
45.2%Possessionseason · 22/2144%
3.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/214.1 corners/match
4.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/214.43 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/212.48 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2112.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/21▲33%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/21▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Villarreal22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna38.3
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna43.3
Villarreal65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna52.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna68.8
Villarreal57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Villarreal35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna33.1
Villarreal53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/540.2%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
43.6%Possession10/1042.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.1 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 21 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲1.86 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots22/21▲12.3 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲4.62 shots/match
45.2%Possession22/2144%
3.18 corners/matchCorners22/214.1 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards22/212.48 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2112.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 10 matches
1.82 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101.6 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots11/109.4 shots/match
4.91 shots/match▲Shots on target11/103.5 shots/match
48.4%Possession11/1038.2%
3.55 corners/matchCorners11/102.7 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/103.5 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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