UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 28 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

LWWDL

3–0Full-time recap

Villarreal

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Villarreal
Shots	15 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.03 xG/match▲	0.25 xG/match
Possession	65%	35%
Corners	4 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.04 xG. Villarreal: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.04 xG · Villarreal 0.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Villarreal have a visible away split

weak

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · Villarreal13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	11 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.4%▲PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · Villarreal42.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Villarreal	Baseline
Possession	52.4%	42.4%	50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 3 · 5 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.63 goals/match

1.75 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/82.25 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.21 xG/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.56 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲13.6 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲11 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.75 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.63 shots/match

52.4%Possessionseason · 8/842.4%

4.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.38 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲3.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.88 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/838%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen63.1

Villarreal15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen40.5

Villarreal26.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen41.2

Villarreal45.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen22.6

Villarreal82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen10.7

Villarreal75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen57.1

Villarreal11.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen34.2

Villarreal39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.22 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

56%Possession5/543.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match

1.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.21 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲13.6 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match

52.4%Possession8/842.4%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/83.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.88 fouls/matchFouls8/812.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match

1.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.21 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲13.6 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match

52.4%Possession8/842.4%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/83.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.88 fouls/matchFouls8/812.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.82 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match

47.8%Possession4/442.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/42.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4