UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 28 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeAlphamega StadiumFull-time recap
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPafos FCSK Slavia Praha
Shots17 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.46 xG/match1.62 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Vlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 17′ · 0.01 xG · goalYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKostas Pileas · Pafos FC · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 87′ · 0.01 xG · goalMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBruno · Pafos FC · 53′ · 0.06 xG · goalMons Bassouamina · Pafos FC · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMons Bassouamina · Pafos FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJajá · Pafos FC · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMichal Sadílek · SK Slavia Praha · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErik Prekop · SK Slavia Praha · 13′ · 0.22 xG · on targetYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 22′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 84′ · 0.25 xG · goalVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 68′ · 0.28 xG · on targetŠtěpán Chaloupek · SK Slavia Praha · 44′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Pafos FC: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.43 xG. SK Slavia Praha: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 17′Bruno · Pafos FC · 53′Anderson Silva · Pafos FC · 84′Mislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 87′Štěpán Chaloupek · SK Slavia Praha · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pafos FC 1.43 xG · SK Slavia Praha 1.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pafos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: SK Slavia Praha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Pafos FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Pafos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SK Slavia Praha show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SK Slavia Praha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/matchShotsPafos FC · SK Slavia Praha12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPafos FCSK Slavia PrahaBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against19.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pafos FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · SK Slavia Praha in 4 · 5 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/80.63 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/82.38 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.2 xG/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/82.18 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/812.4 shots/match
19.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/816.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/83.75 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/87.88 shots/match
39%Possessionseason · 10/846.4%
3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/83.38 corners/match
7.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/85.88 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/816.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/825%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/838%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pafos FC3.6
SK Slavia Praha25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pafos FC15
SK Slavia Praha21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 81%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pafos FC37.9
SK Slavia Praha7.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 81%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pafos FC44
SK Slavia Praha48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC72.6
SK Slavia Praha94
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 36%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC15.5
SK Slavia Praha11.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pafos FC26.2
SK Slavia Praha41
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.96 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
40.4%Possession5/547.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/518 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 8 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/80.63 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/82.38 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.2 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots10/812.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/83.75 shots/match
39%Possession10/846.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/83.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/816.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 8 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/80.63 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed14/82.38 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.2 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots10/812.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/83.75 shots/match
39%Possession10/846.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/83.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/816.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 4 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/40.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/42.5 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.87 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/411 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/43.25 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/447.3%
4 corners/matchCorners5/42 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/415.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples14 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match