PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Alphamega Stadium

Pafos FC 4–1 SK Slavia Praha · UEFA Champions League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Pafos FC won 4–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.461.62
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pafos FC beat SK Slavia Praha 4–1. Recorded in this match (Pafos FC – SK Slavia Praha): shots 17–13, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.46–1.62, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pafos FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Pafos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SK Slavia Praha show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SK Slavia Praha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsPafos FC · SK Slavia Praha12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPafos FCSK Slavia PrahaBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against19.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsPafos FC 17 shots, SK Slavia Praha 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsPafos FC 8 shots, SK Slavia Praha 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.62 xGPafos FC 1.46 xG, SK Slavia Praha 1.62 xG
  • Possession45%55%Pafos FC 45%, SK Slavia Praha 55%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersPafos FC 8 corners, SK Slavia Praha 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsPafos FC 11 fouls, SK Slavia Praha 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 17′ · 0.01 xG · goalYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKostas Pileas · Pafos FC · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 87′ · 0.01 xG · goalMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBruno · Pafos FC · 53′ · 0.06 xG · goalMons Bassouamina · Pafos FC · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMons Bassouamina · Pafos FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJajá · Pafos FC · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · SK Slavia Praha · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussoupha Sanyang · SK Slavia Praha · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLukáš Provod · SK Slavia Praha · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDavid Luiz · Pafos FC · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMichal Sadílek · SK Slavia Praha · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErik Prekop · SK Slavia Praha · 13′ · 0.22 xG · on targetYoussoupha Mbodji · SK Slavia Praha · 22′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 84′ · 0.25 xG · goalVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 68′ · 0.28 xG · on targetŠtěpán Chaloupek · SK Slavia Praha · 44′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Pafos FC: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.43 xG. SK Slavia Praha: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 17′Bruno · Pafos FC · 53′Anderson Silva · Pafos FC · 84′Mislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 87′Štěpán Chaloupek · SK Slavia Praha · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pafos FC 1.43 xG · SK Slavia Praha 1.55 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Pafos FC favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SK Slavia Praha in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Pafos FC14 matchesSK Slavia Praha8 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/80.63 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/82.38 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.2 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots10/8▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/83.75 shots/match
39%Possession10/8● 46.4%
3.4 corners/match ●Corners10/83.38 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/816.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPafos FCSK Slavia Praha
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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