UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 28 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeStade Louis IIFull-time recap

Monaco

DWDWL
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonacoJuventus
Shots11 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals0.5 xG/match0.17 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Vanderson · Monaco · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · Monaco · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCaio Henrique · Monaco · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVanderson · Monaco · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 1′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.51 xG. Juventus: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 0.51 xG · Juventus 0.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/matchShotsMonaco · Juventus16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoJuventusBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match16 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.38 corners/matchCornersMonaco · Juventus5.63 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMonacoJuventusBaseline
Corners5.38 corners/match5.63 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Juventus have a visible away split

weak

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match16 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Monaco favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 6 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.25 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.66 xG/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.39 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/816 shots/match
16.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/814.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/86.13 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.88 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 8/848.8%
5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.63 corners/match
4.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.25 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/815.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/838%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monaco20.2
Juventus40.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monaco45.6
Juventus69.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monaco39.2
Juventus48.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monaco79.8
Juventus84.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monaco77.4
Juventus89.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monaco70.2
Juventus79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monaco66.4
Juventus79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.83 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots5/516.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.8 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/549.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.66 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots8/816 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target8/86.13 shots/match
45.9%Possession8/848.8%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.66 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots8/816 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target8/86.13 shots/match
45.9%Possession8/848.8%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.45 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots4/413.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/46 shots/match
44.3%Possession4/445.3%
6.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/418.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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