PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Napoli

WDDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusNapoli
Shots12 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.36 corners/match▲CornersJuventus · Napoli5.45 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricJuventusNapoliBaseline
Corners5.36 corners/match5.45 corners/match4.21 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli.

7.89 days▲Rest daysJuventus · Napoli8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventusNapoliBaseline
Rest days7.89 days8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Juventus
0Draws
1Napoli
Napoli — Juventus · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 1 · 5 too close

1.59 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221.41 goals/match
0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/220.91 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2212.9 shots/match
9.82 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2210.8 shots/match
5.91 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/224.5 shots/match
2.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/222.82 shots/match
57.5%Possessionseason · 22/2257.5%
5.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.45 corners/match
3.95 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲2.64 corners/match
1.27 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/221.36 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
41%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2241%
77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2273%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus77.5
Napoli82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus90
Napoli66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus90.8
Napoli76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
Napoli12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus25
Napoli15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5
Napoli87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus78.8
Napoli59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
61.2%Possession5/560%
7.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
0.4 cards/matchCards5/50.8 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match
6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
56.2%Possession10/1057.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards10/101.3 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.59 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221.41 goals/match
0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/220.91 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots22/2212.9 shots/match
5.91 shots/match▲Shots on target22/224.5 shots/match
57.5%Possession22/2257.5%
5.36 corners/matchCorners22/225.45 corners/match
1.27 cards/matchCards22/221.36 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 12 matches
2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/121.17 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/121 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shots11/1212.7 shots/match
7.18 shots/match▲Shots on target11/124.08 shots/match
56.5%Possession11/1257.6%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/124.83 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards11/121.42 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusNapoli
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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