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UEFA Champions League · 2025Lotto Park

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Atalanta · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–0.

Shots
813
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
10.87
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise beat Atalanta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Royale Union Saint-Gilloise – Atalanta): shots 8–13, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1–0.87, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

weak

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

35%PossessionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Atalanta● 52.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseAtalantaBaseline
Possession35%52.6%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots, Atalanta 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots, Atalanta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG0.87 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 xG, Atalanta 0.87 xG
  • Possession36%64%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 36%, Atalanta 64%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 corners, Atalanta 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 10 fouls, Atalanta 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Bernasconi · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 70′ · 0.04 xG · goalRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 8′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIsak Hien · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 12′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 3′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG. Atalanta: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Anan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.98 xG · Atalanta 0.85 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise8 matchesAtalanta8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.85 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.9 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match
35%Possession8/8● 52.6%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.5 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseAtalanta
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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