PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–0.

Shots
138
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.370.38
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Club Brugge KV 1–0. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – Club Brugge KV): shots 13–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.37–0.38, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.63 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.79 corners/matchCornersUnion St. Gilloise · Club Brugge KV● 6.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseClub Brugge KVBaseline
Corners5.79 corners/match6.2 corners/match4.76 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.1%PossessionUnion St. Gilloise · Club Brugge KV● 62.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseClub Brugge KVBaseline
Possession53.1%62.8%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 13 shots, Club Brugge KV 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 shots, Club Brugge KV 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.38 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.37 xG, Club Brugge KV 0.38 xG
  • Possession30%70%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 30%, Club Brugge KV 70%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners, Club Brugge KV 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 fouls, Club Brugge KV 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 cards, Club Brugge KV 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ross Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 29′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 43′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 31′ · 0.12 xG · goalNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 82′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.32 xG. Club Brugge KV: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 1.32 xG · Club Brugge KV 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
3Draws
1Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–0
Club Brugge KV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League2–2
Club Brugge KV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise24 matchesClub Brugge KV25 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 1.96 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/251.24 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.59 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 16.5 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on target24/255.36 shots/match
53.1%Possession24/25● 62.8%
5.79 corners/matchCorners24/25● 6.2 corners/match
2.35 cards/matchCards23/231.61 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls24/259.44 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseClub Brugge KV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — Club Brugge KV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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