La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna · La Liga

1–2Historical match

Osasuna

DLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 1–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.160.66
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Osasuna): shots 18–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.16–0.66, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.17 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match11 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsCelta Vigo 18 shots, Osasuna 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Osasuna 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG0.66 xGCelta Vigo 2.16 xG, Osasuna 0.66 xG
  • Possession57%43%Celta Vigo 57%, Osasuna 43%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersCelta Vigo 7 corners, Osasuna 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCelta Vigo 9 fouls, Osasuna 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCelta Vigo 2 cards, Osasuna 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Román · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Osasuna · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Osasuna · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Rueda · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAsier Osambela · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 35′ · 0.08 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 19′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.34 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 79′ · 0.41 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.18 xG. Osasuna: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 53′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 35′Raúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.18 xG · Osasuna 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Celta Vigo
0Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–3
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–3
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo23 matchesOsasuna23 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.22 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.12 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots23/2311 shots/match
3.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.57 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession23/2345.1%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners23/233.17 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards23/232.57 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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