PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 6 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoOsasuna
Shots18 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.17 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match11 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo
0Draws
0Osasuna
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 6 too close

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.22 goals/match
1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/231.22 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2311 shots/match
12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2312.7 shots/match
3.96 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.57 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.83 shots/match
50.9%Possessionseason · 23/2345.1%
4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/233.17 corners/match
4.65 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/234.65 corners/match
2.04 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 23/232.57 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2313.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2322%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2365%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo40.8
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo72.5
Osasuna44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo12.5
Osasuna47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo27.5
Osasuna70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo37.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo33.8
Osasuna33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
54.6%Possession5/545.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
51%Possession10/1043.3%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/231.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots23/2311 shots/match
3.96 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.57 shots/match
50.9%Possession23/2345.1%
4.17 corners/matchCorners23/233.17 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards23/232.57 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.42 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots12/129.17 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.33 shots/match
53.1%Possession12/1242.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/122.83 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards12/122.75 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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