PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

Elche

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadElche
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession34%66%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.27 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Elche10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadElcheBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
1Draws
0Elche
Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 1 · 7 too close

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.35 goals/match
1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/231.52 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2310.9 shots/match
13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2314.9 shots/match
4.91 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.78 shots/match
3.87 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.83 shots/match
49.1%Possessionseason · 23/2358.3%
5.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/233.48 corners/match
4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/234.7 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/232.13 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2312.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲22%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2387%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad42.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad72.5
Elche44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad50.8
Elche23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad67.5
Elche40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5
Elche17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad77.5
Elche33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
40%Possession5/555%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
47%Possession10/1058.1%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.35 goals/match
1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/231.52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots23/2310.9 shots/match
4.91 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.78 shots/match
49.1%Possession23/2358.3%
5.83 corners/matchCorners23/233.48 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards23/232.13 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111 goals/match
1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/112 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shots12/118.27 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/112.82 shots/match
48.5%Possession12/1157.4%
5.83 corners/matchCorners12/113 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/112.27 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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