PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
Shots19 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession55%45%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.68 corners/match▲CornersAthletic Club · Real Sociedad6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubReal SociedadBaseline
Corners5.68 corners/match6 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Real Sociedad13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubReal SociedadBaseline
Shots14 shots/match13 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.86 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club
0Draws
1Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 5 · 5 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲1.36 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.36 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2213 shots/match
9.86 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2213.1 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲5 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/22▲3.82 shots/match
49.6%Possessionseason · 22/2249.8%
5.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/226 corners/match
4.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/224.59 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/22▲2.32 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2214.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/225%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5
Real Sociedad55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club56.7
Real Sociedad72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club58.3
Real Sociedad51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club77.5
Real Sociedad62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5
Real Sociedad65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club72.5
Real Sociedad79.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.8 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/542.2%
7 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match
47.9%Possession10/1049%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲1.36 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.36 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots22/2213 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲5 shots/match
49.6%Possession22/2249.8%
5.68 corners/matchCorners22/226 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCards22/222.32 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.09 goals/match
1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1113.3 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5 shots/match
52%Possession11/1149.8%
6 corners/matchCorners11/115.82 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/112.45 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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