PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025San Mamés

Athletic Club 2–3 Sporting · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 2–3.

Shots
99
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.591.49
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat Athletic Club 3–2. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Sporting): shots 9–9, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.59–1.49, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting have a visible away split

weak

Sporting's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.25 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sporting's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sporting's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Sporting11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubSportingBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsAthletic Club 9 shots, Sporting 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsAthletic Club 2 shots, Sporting 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.49 xGAthletic Club 0.59 xG, Sporting 1.49 xG
  • Possession35%65%Athletic Club 35%, Sporting 65%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersAthletic Club 6 corners, Sporting 7 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls8 foulsAthletic Club 22 fouls, Sporting 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 3′ · 0.06 xG · goalOusmane Diomande · Sporting · 12′ · 0.06 xG · goalOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.11 xG · goalAlisson Santos · Sporting · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting · 61′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 62′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG. Sporting: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 3′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 28′Ousmane Diomande · Sporting · 12′Francisco Trincão · Sporting · 62′Alisson Santos · Sporting · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.58 xG · Sporting 1.46 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club8 matchesSporting8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.41 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 11.1 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.88 shots/match
41%Possession8/8● 48.6%
4 corners/match ●Corners8/83.5 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls8/89.88 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubSporting
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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