PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisValencia
Shots14 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession53%47%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.09 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.09 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Valencia11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisValenciaBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis
1Draws
0Valencia
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 6 too close

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221.05 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.59 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2211.5 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2212.3 shots/match
4.91 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/223.05 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224.36 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 22/2248.6%
4.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.18 corners/match
5.41 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲4.86 corners/match
1.91 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/222.14 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2223%
91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2277%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis62.5
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis80.8
Valencia30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis42.5
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis87.5
Valencia42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis12.5
Valencia36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis47.5
Valencia62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis56.2
Valencia39.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
53%Possession5/547.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.9 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
48.2%Possession10/1051.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221.05 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.59 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots22/2211.5 shots/match
4.91 shots/match▲Shots on target22/223.05 shots/match
50.5%Possession22/2248.6%
4.68 corners/matchCorners22/225.18 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards22/222.14 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match
1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots11/119.09 shots/match
5.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.45 shots/match
51.2%Possession11/1144.8%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/113.91 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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