PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

DDLLL
0–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

LWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheOsasuna
Shots17 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5%▲PossessionElche · Osasuna44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheOsasunaBaseline
Possession58.5%44.8%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche
1Draws
0Osasuna
Osasuna — Elche · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 2 · 7 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241.17 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.17 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2410.8 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲12.9 shots/match
3.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/243.5 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/244.83 shots/match
58.5%Possessionseason · 24/2444.8%
3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/243.17 corners/match
4.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/244.88 corners/match
2.13 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 24/242.63 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2413.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2425%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2463%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche42.5
Osasuna30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche29.2
Osasuna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Osasuna47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche42.5
Osasuna72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche17.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche35
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/542%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match
57.9%Possession10/1042.1%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241.17 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots24/2410.8 shots/match
3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target24/243.5 shots/match
58.5%Possession24/2444.8%
3.75 corners/matchCorners24/243.17 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards24/242.63 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.54 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.62 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.15 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots13/138.92 shots/match
4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target13/132.31 shots/match
59.5%Possession13/1341.7%
4.38 corners/matchCorners13/132.85 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards13/132.85 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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