PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolCelta Vigo
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession43%57%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.5%▲PossessionEspanyol · Celta Vigo51.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolCelta VigoBaseline
Possession42.5%51.1%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Espanyol
0Draws
0Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Espanyol · La Liga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 8 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲1.33 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2410.9 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2411.9 shots/match
4.25 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/244 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲4.04 shots/match
42.5%Possessionseason · 24/2451.1%
4.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.08 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/244.54 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.96 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2429%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol12.5
Celta Vigo67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol55.8
Celta Vigo48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol47.5
Celta Vigo72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol92.5
Celta Vigo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol46.2
Celta Vigo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol42.5
Celta Vigo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol55
Celta Vigo35.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/557.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.4 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1050.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲1.33 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shots24/2410.9 shots/match
4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target24/244 shots/match
42.5%Possession24/2451.1%
4.46 corners/matchCorners24/244.08 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards24/241.96 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/121.25 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots13/1210.1 shots/match
4.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/124 shots/match
42.9%Possession13/1249.2%
4.46 corners/matchCorners13/123.33 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/122 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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