La Liga · 2025Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LDWLD

1–1Full-time recap

Alaves

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Alaves
Shots	4 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	26%	74%
Corners	0 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/match▲FoulsSevilla · Alaves15.1 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Alaves	Baseline
Fouls	15 fouls/match	15.1 fouls/match	12.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

0Draws

1Alaves

17 Dec 2025Alaves — Sevilla · Copa del Rey1–0

20 Sept 2025Alaves — Sevilla · La Liga1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 4 · 6 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/240.88 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2411.6 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2412.4 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.75 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲3.83 shots/match

53.5%Possessionseason · 24/2451.3%

5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.96 corners/match

4.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4.46 corners/match

3.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲2.25 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2415.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2413%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2463%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Alaves67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla50

Alaves34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla37.5

Alaves62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla17.5

Alaves27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla90

Alaves72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla62.5

Alaves57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla60

Alaves58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

48.8%Possession5/555%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

52.2%Possession10/1053.1%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

3.3 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored24/240.88 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.4 shots/matchShots24/2411.6 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on target24/243.75 shots/match

53.5%Possession24/2451.3%

5.13 corners/matchCorners24/244.96 corners/match

3.17 cards/matchCards24/242.25 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls24/2415.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored13/120.58 goals/match

1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/121.42 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.8 shots/matchShots13/1210.5 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target13/123.25 shots/match

54.2%Possession13/1251%

4.85 corners/matchCorners13/124.17 corners/match

3.31 cards/matchCards13/122.33 cards/match

16.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1214.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.19 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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