PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LLDWL
1–1Full-time recap

Girona

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaGirona
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession51%49%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Girona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Girona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Girona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Girona9.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaGironaBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match9.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match15 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla
0Draws
0Girona
Girona — Sevilla · La Liga0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 1 · 8 too close

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/230.96 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.61 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/239.7 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2315 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.65 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/234.74 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 23/2349.4%
5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/234 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/235.09 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/23▲2.65 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2317%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla82.5
Girona47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla53.3
Girona17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla35.8
Girona20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla17.5
Girona7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla92.5
Girona50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla67.5
Girona25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla65
Girona18.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/556.2%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
56.1%Possession10/1051.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored23/230.96 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.61 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots23/239.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.65 shots/match
54.7%Possession23/2349.4%
5.35 corners/matchCorners23/234 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards23/232.65 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.42 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shots12/129.67 shots/match
4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.92 shots/match
56.5%Possession12/1247.5%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/123.25 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards12/122.5 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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