PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
4–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

LLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaSevilla
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession33%67%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%▲PossessionMallorca · Sevilla54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaSevillaBaseline
Possession43.8%54.8%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Mallorca
0Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Mallorca · La Liga1–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 4 · 8 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.32 goals/match
1.55 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.68 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/22▲11.8 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/22▲10.9 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/224.05 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224.73 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 22/2254.8%
3.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.36 corners/match
6.77 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲4.91 corners/match
2.27 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/223 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2214.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲18%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2277%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca17.5
Sevilla82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca40.8
Sevilla54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca24.2
Sevilla35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca42.5
Sevilla17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca35
Sevilla92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca7.5
Sevilla67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca26.2
Sevilla65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/558%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.4 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
42.2%Possession10/1057.7%
3 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.32 goals/match
1.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.68 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots22/22▲11.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/224.05 shots/match
43.8%Possession22/2254.8%
3.36 corners/matchCorners22/225.36 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards22/223 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots11/11▲12.2 shots/match
4.36 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.82 shots/match
44.5%Possession11/1152.6%
2.91 corners/matchCorners11/115.45 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/113 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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