PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap
4–2Full-time recap

Levante

WDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubLevante
Shots22 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession55%45%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Levante10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubLevanteBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.7 shots/match17 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.9%▲PossessionAthletic Club · Levante41.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubLevanteBaseline
Possession49.9%41.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club
0Draws
0Levante
Levante — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 1 · 6 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/22▲1.18 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/221.73 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2210.6 shots/match
9.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2217 shots/match
4.52 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/223.27 shots/match
4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/225.64 shots/match
49.9%Possessionseason · 23/2241.5%
5.61 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/223.41 corners/match
4.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/226.73 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/222.32 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2212.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2218%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2268%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club57.5
Levante2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club60.8
Levante26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club60.8
Levante4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club77.5
Levante62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5
Levante45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5
Levante12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club73.8
Levante22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
52%Possession5/542%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1044.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
3.1 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/22▲1.18 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/221.73 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots23/2210.6 shots/match
4.52 shots/match▲Shots on target23/223.27 shots/match
49.9%Possession23/2241.5%
5.61 corners/matchCorners23/223.41 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards23/222.32 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2212.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.25 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shots12/129.67 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.25 shots/match
52.3%Possession12/1241.6%
5.83 corners/matchCorners12/122.25 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAthletic ClubLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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