PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

DLWDL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteValencia
Shots9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match▲
Possession47%53%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Valencia11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteValenciaBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Levante
0Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Levante · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Valencia in 7 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/241.04 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/24▲1.54 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2411.1 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/24▲12.1 shots/match
3.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/242.88 shots/match
5.48 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/24▲4.29 shots/match
41.7%Possessionseason · 23/2448.4%
3.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/245.04 corners/match
6.52 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/24▲4.92 corners/match
2.39 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/24▲2.08 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2412.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/24▲25%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/24▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante2.5
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante25.8
Valencia24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante4.2
Valencia44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante62.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante50
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante7.5
Valencia62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante22.5
Valencia36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
41.6%Possession5/546.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.7 shots/match
3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
45.2%Possession10/1050.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 24 matches
1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored23/241.04 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed23/24▲1.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots23/2411.1 shots/match
3.17 shots/match▲Shots on target23/242.88 shots/match
41.7%Possession23/2448.4%
3.39 corners/matchCorners23/245.04 corners/match
2.39 cards/matchCards23/242.08 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2412.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 12 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored11/120.83 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/122 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots11/128.75 shots/match
3.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/122.42 shots/match
41.8%Possession11/1245.5%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/123.75 corners/match
2.55 cards/matchCards11/122.17 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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