PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

LWDLL
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteVillarreal
Shots16 shots/match▲15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession59%41%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante. A second useful context is: Levante's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante.

3.06 days▲Rest daysLevante · Villarreal4.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLevanteVillarrealBaseline
Rest days3.06 days4.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

weak

Levante's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 4 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲1.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲12.1 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲12.8 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲4.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲3.5 shots/match
42.4%Possessionseason · 24/2444.6%
3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.04 corners/match
6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4.46 corners/match
2.42 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 24/242.58 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2413.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲33%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante7.5
Villarreal27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante24.2
Villarreal70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante4.2
Villarreal69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante62.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante50
Villarreal65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante7.5
Villarreal32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante22.5
Villarreal54.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/548.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/516.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.7 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/1042.9%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲1.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots24/24▲12.1 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲4.5 shots/match
42.4%Possession24/2444.6%
3.38 corners/matchCorners24/244.04 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards24/242.58 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.5 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots12/129.75 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲3.58 shots/match
43.3%Possession12/1239.9%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/122.75 corners/match
2.58 cards/matchCards12/123.5 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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