PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 20 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Elche

DLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubElche
Shots18 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession46%54%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

strong

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Elche10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubElcheBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.28 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club
1Draws
0Elche
Elche — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 4 · 4 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.28 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.48 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2510.8 shots/match
9.28 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2514.7 shots/match
4.64 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/253.76 shots/match
4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.84 shots/match
49.6%Possessionseason · 25/2558.4%
5.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/253.64 corners/match
3.88 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/254.6 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/25▲2.16 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2512.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲24%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club57.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club64.2
Elche37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club67.5
Elche24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club77.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club70
Elche42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5
Elche17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club76.2
Elche30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/556.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
51.2%Possession10/1057.5%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
3.3 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.28 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots25/2510.8 shots/match
4.64 shots/match▲Shots on target25/253.76 shots/match
49.6%Possession25/2558.4%
5.44 corners/matchCorners25/253.64 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCards25/252.16 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored13/121 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/122 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots13/127.75 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/122.75 shots/match
51.8%Possession13/1257.1%
5.69 corners/matchCorners13/122.83 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards13/122.33 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAthletic ClubElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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