PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisRayo Vallecano
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Rayo Vallecano13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis
1Draws
0Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 1 · 6 too close

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/240.92 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/241.29 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2413.3 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2412.1 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/244.54 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/244.17 shots/match
49.1%Possessionseason · 25/2453.9%
4.48 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/245.75 corners/match
5.52 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/24▲5.13 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/243.08 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2413.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2429%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2458%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis47.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis82.5
Rayo Vallecano54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis50.8
Rayo Vallecano54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis92.5
Rayo Vallecano57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis16.2
Rayo Vallecano80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis47.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis56.2
Rayo Vallecano72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
45%Possession5/551%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/54 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.5 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.9 shots/match
47.2%Possession10/1054.5%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/104.1 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 24 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored25/240.92 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/241.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots25/2413.3 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target25/244.54 shots/match
49.1%Possession25/2453.9%
4.48 corners/matchCorners25/245.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards25/243.08 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored12/130.85 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/131.69 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots12/1311.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target12/133.77 shots/match
50.8%Possession12/1353.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners12/135 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards12/133.69 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1314.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match