PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
3–3Full-time recap

Oviedo

DLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadOviedo
Shots15 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession62%38%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Oviedo9.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadOviedoBaseline
Shots13 shots/match9.79 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
0Draws
1Oviedo
Oviedo — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 1 · 4 too close

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/240.67 goals/match
1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/241.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/249.79 shots/match
13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2415.2 shots/match
4.96 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/243.08 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/246.13 shots/match
49.6%Possessionseason · 25/2444.1%
5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/244 corners/match
4.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/245.79 corners/match
2.16 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/242.54 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2412.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/24▲25%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2442%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad57.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad74.2
Oviedo6.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad44.2
Oviedo9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad61.2
Oviedo60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad82.5
Oviedo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad78.8
Oviedo24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
45%Possession5/540.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
45.8%Possession10/1044.9%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 24 matches
1.48 goals/match▲Goals scored25/240.67 goals/match
1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/241.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots25/249.79 shots/match
4.96 shots/match▲Shots on target25/243.08 shots/match
49.6%Possession25/2444.1%
5.88 corners/matchCorners25/244 corners/match
2.16 cards/matchCards25/242.54 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2412.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
1.85 goals/match▲Goals scored13/120.92 goals/match
1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/122.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots13/129.92 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/123.5 shots/match
49.5%Possession13/1241.8%
5.92 corners/matchCorners13/123.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards13/122.92 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1214.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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