PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

DDLLW
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoAthletic Club
Shots7 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession54%46%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.61 shots/match▲ShotsOviedo · Athletic Club14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots9.61 shots/match14.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match9.58 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Oviedo
0Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Oviedo · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 9 · 4 too close

0.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/24▲1.13 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/24▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.61 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/24▲14.3 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/24▲9.58 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/24▲4.5 shots/match
6.04 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/24▲4.17 shots/match
44.4%Possessionseason · 23/2449.7%
3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/245.5 corners/match
5.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/24▲4 corners/match
2.61 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/24▲2.46 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2413.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2421%
39%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/24▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo22.5
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo5.8
Athletic Club60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo12.5
Athletic Club64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo22.5
Athletic Club77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo60
Athletic Club70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo22.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo21.2
Athletic Club75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲18 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/551%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲16 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
45.9%Possession10/1050.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/103.2 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 24 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲1.13 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed23/24▲1.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.61 shots/matchShots23/24▲14.3 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on target23/24▲4.5 shots/match
44.4%Possession23/2449.7%
3.91 corners/matchCorners23/245.5 corners/match
2.61 cards/matchCards23/242.46 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2413.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
0.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.6 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.33 shots/match
46.4%Possession12/1247.2%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/125.17 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards12/122.83 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOviedoAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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