La Liga · 2025Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 3–0.

Shots
139
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
1.561.1
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Atletico Madrid 3–0. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Atletico Madrid): shots 13–9, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 1.56–1.1, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.78 corners/matchCornersRayo Vallecano · Atletico Madrid● 6.96 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoAtletico MadridBaseline
Corners5.78 corners/match6.96 corners/match4.62 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Atletico Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsRayo Vallecano 13 shots, Atlético Madrid 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsRayo Vallecano 9 shots, Atlético Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.1 xGRayo Vallecano 1.56 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.1 xG
  • Possession41%59%Rayo Vallecano 41%, Atlético Madrid 59%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersRayo Vallecano 4 corners, Atlético Madrid 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRayo Vallecano 10 fouls, Atlético Madrid 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsRayo Vallecano 1 card, Atlético Madrid 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNahuel Molina · Atletico Madrid · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 34′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.14 xG · goalThiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 78′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 62′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.24 xG · on targetClément Lenglet · Atletico Madrid · 42′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atletico Madrid · 82′ · 0.33 xG · on targetFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 40′ · 0.35 xG · goalÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 13 shots, 9 on target, 1.70 xG. Atletico Madrid: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Fran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 40′Óscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 45′Nobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.70 xG · Atletico Madrid 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
4Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–2
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–7

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano23 matchesAtlético Madrid24 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/24▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals23/24▲ 1.54 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots23/2413 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target23/24▲ 5.46 shots/match
53.9%Possession23/24● 54.6%
5.78 corners/matchCorners23/24● 6.96 corners/match
3.09 cards/matchCards23/241.96 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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