UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeJan Breydel StadiumFull-time recap
33Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricClub Brugge KVAtlético Madrid
Shots17 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match2.36 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShandre Campbell · Club Brugge KV · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetShandre Campbell · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Ruggeri · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBjorn Meijer · Club Brugge KV · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ordóñez · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 12′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 19′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 69′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atlético Madrid · 44′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 78′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 89′ · 0.25 xG · goalNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.40 xG · on targetRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.43 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.55 xG · goalNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 60′ · 0.66 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 17 shots, 10 on target, 2.43 xG. Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 51′Nicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 60′Christos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 89′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 8′Ademola Lookman · Atlético Madrid · 45′Joel Ordóñez · Atlético Madrid · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 2.43 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Club Brugge KV's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Club Brugge KV have a visible home split

moderate

Club Brugge KV's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.6 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/matchShotsClub Brugge KV · Atlético Madrid15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Club Brugge KV's recent record differs from the season

weak

Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Club Brugge KV favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 6 · 4 too close

2.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/92.22 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/92 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.9 xG/match
2.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.69 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/915.3 shots/match
16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/913.1 shots/match
6.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/96.11 shots/match
5.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/95.22 shots/match
49.5%Possessionseason · 13/952%
4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/96.78 corners/match
5.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/94.11 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.38 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/910.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/90%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Club Brugge KV46.4
Atlético Madrid63.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Club Brugge KV77.6
Atlético Madrid76.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Club Brugge KV25.9
Atlético Madrid34.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Club Brugge KV70.2
Atlético Madrid60.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Club Brugge KV6
Atlético Madrid41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Club Brugge KV36.9
Atlético Madrid94
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Club Brugge KV47.6
Atlético Madrid70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.81 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots5/517 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/551.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/92.22 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/92 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.9 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots10/915.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target10/96.11 shots/match
48.7%Possession10/952%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/96.78 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls10/910.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 9 matches
2.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/92.22 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/92 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.9 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots13/915.3 shots/match
6.62 shots/matchShots on target13/96.11 shots/match
49.5%Possession13/952%
4.31 corners/matchCorners13/96.78 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.38 fouls/matchFouls13/910.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 5 matches
3.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/51.8 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/52.6 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.46 xG/match
19.6 shots/matchShots7/512.8 shots/match
9 shots/matchShots on target7/54.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession7/547.4%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.29 fouls/matchFouls7/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples13 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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