PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

Inter

WLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBodø/GlimtInter
Shots8 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match1.35 xG/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Matteo Darmian · Inter · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Helmersen · Bodø/Glimt · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 37′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 61′ · 0.08 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOdin Luras Bjørtuft · Bodø/Glimt · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 28′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 46′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 42′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 30′ · 0.26 xG · goalKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 64′ · 0.29 xG · goalSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 20′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bodø/Glimt: 8 shots, 6 on target, 1.15 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 20′Jens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 61′Kasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 64′Francesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bodø/Glimt 1.15 xG · Inter 1.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match▲ShotsBodø/Glimt · Inter16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtInterBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodø/Glimt favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 8 · 5 too close

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/91.78 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/9▲1.11 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.92 xG/match
2.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.01 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/9▲16.7 shots/match
17.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/9▲10.3 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/95.22 shots/match
7.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/9▲4 shots/match
49.5%Possessionseason · 11/955.9%
4.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/95 corners/match
6.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/9▲3.78 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
9.27 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/910.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/9▲44%
91%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodø/Glimt48.8
Inter84.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodø/Glimt57.8
Inter67.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodø/Glimt20.6
Inter78.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodø/Glimt29.8
Inter67.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt15.5
Inter44
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt27.4
Inter64.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodø/Glimt35.7
Inter62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.08 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/553.2%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
6.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.78 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.11 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.92 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots10/9▲16.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/95.22 shots/match
48.7%Possession10/955.9%
4 corners/matchCorners10/95 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9 fouls/matchFouls10/910.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 9 matches
2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/91.78 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲1.11 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.92 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots11/9▲16.7 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on target11/95.22 shots/match
49.5%Possession11/955.9%
4.09 corners/matchCorners11/95 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.27 fouls/matchFouls11/910.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/52 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲1 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.89 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots6/5▲15.8 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/55.2 shots/match
51.3%Possession6/555.8%
4 corners/matchCorners6/54.2 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/510.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBodø/GlimtInter
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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