PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Georgios Karaiskakis

Olympiacos FC 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0–2.

Shots
138
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.871.95
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Olympiacos FC 2–0. Recorded in this match (Olympiacos FC – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 13–8, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.87–1.95, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympiacos FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympiacos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympiacos FC · Bayer 04 Leverkusen11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympiacos FCBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionOlympiacos FC · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympiacos FCBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession41.8%53%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsOlympiacos FC 13 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsOlympiacos FC 1 shot, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.95 xGOlympiacos FC 0.87 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.95 xG
  • Possession42%58%Olympiacos FC 42%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersOlympiacos FC 3 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsOlympiacos FC 7 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOnyemaechi Bruno · Olympiacos FC · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Scipioni · Olympiacos FC · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAndré Luiz · Olympiacos FC · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.11 xG · goalAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 28′ · 0.31 xG · on targetGiulian Biancone · Olympiacos FC · 53′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.38 xG · on targetErnest Poku · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympiacos FC: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.85 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympiacos FC 0.85 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympiacos FC
0Draws
0Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Olympiacos FC — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympiacos FC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympiacos FC9 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.6 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.8 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.56 shots/match
41.8%Possession9/9● 53%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.67 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/98.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympiacos FCBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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