PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Metropolitano Stadium

Atlético Madrid 4–2 Espanyol · La Liga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 4–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.891.06
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Madrid beat Espanyol 4–2. Recorded in this match (Atletico Madrid – Espanyol): shots 18–8, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.89–1.06, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9% ●PossessionAtletico Madrid · Espanyol42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridEspanyolBaseline
Possession54.9%42.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsAtlético Madrid 18 shots, Espanyol 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Espanyol 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.89 xG1.06 xGAtlético Madrid 2.89 xG, Espanyol 1.06 xG
  • Possession61%39%Atlético Madrid 61%, Espanyol 39%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Espanyol 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsAtlético Madrid 8 fouls, Espanyol 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAtlético Madrid 0 cards, Espanyol 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edu Expósito · Espanyol · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atletico Madrid · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atletico Madrid · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 80′ · 0.02 xG · goalDávid Hancko · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Ruggeri · Atletico Madrid · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Espanyol · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 33′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 72′ · 0.10 xG · goalThiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 27′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 32′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 6′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 21′ · 0.25 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 69′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atletico Madrid · 49′ · 0.41 xG · goalJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 6′ · 0.70 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atletico Madrid · 58′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atletico Madrid: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.89 xG. Espanyol: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 21′Giuliano Simeone · Atletico Madrid · 49′Ademola Lookman · Atletico Madrid · 58′Alexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 72′Jofre Carreras · Espanyol · 6′Edu Expósito · Espanyol · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atletico Madrid 2.89 xG · Espanyol 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Madrid
4Draws
1Espanyol
Espanyol — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–1
Espanyol — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga0–0
Espanyol — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–3
Atlético Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid25 matchesEspanyol25 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.33 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.5 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.16 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession25/2542.4%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners25/254.4 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards25/252.08 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridEspanyol
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Espanyol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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