UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeCívitas MetropolitanoFull-time recap
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtlético MadridClub Brugge KV
Shots14 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.32 xG/match1.85 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.04 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJohnny Cardoso · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Atlético Madrid · 48′ · 0.06 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atlético Madrid · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 44′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 38′ · 0.31 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 87′ · 0.40 xG · goalGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 13′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.68 xG · goalJoel Ordóñez · Club Brugge KV · 36′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.24 xG. Club Brugge KV: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 23′Johnny Cardoso · Atlético Madrid · 48′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 76′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 87′Joel Ordóñez · Club Brugge KV · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.24 xG · Club Brugge KV 1.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Club Brugge KV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Club Brugge KV have a visible away split

moderate

Club Brugge KV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/matchShotsAtlético Madrid · Club Brugge KV14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match16 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Atlético Madrid
1Draws
0Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KVAtlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League33

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 2 · 7 too close

2.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/142.29 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/141.93 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.62 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/102.17 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1414.8 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1416 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/146.57 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/145.5 shots/match
51.3%Possessionseason · 10/1449.9%
6.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/144.5 corners/match
4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/145 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/148.36 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1421%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid56
Club Brugge KV46.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid77.6
Club Brugge KV75.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid34.7
Club Brugge KV23.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid65.5
Club Brugge KV70.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid23.8
Club Brugge KV6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid86.9
Club Brugge KV42.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid64.6
Club Brugge KV48.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.08 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.81 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/56.8 shots/match
50.8%Possession5/550.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.4 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.62 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target10/105.5 shots/match
51.3%Possession10/1047%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 14 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/142.29 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/141.93 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.62 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots10/1414.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target10/146.57 shots/match
51.3%Possession10/1449.9%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/144.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls10/148.36 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/71.43 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/72.14 goals/match
2.42 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.2 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/710 shots/match
7.4 shots/matchShots on target5/74.14 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/750.4%
7 corners/matchCorners5/74.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/78.43 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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