PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

WWDWD
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaReal Madrid
Shots13 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsOsasuna · Real Madrid18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal MadridBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match18.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
0Draws
1Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲2.16 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲0.84 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲18.4 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/25▲10.2 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲6.96 shots/match
4.84 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲3 shots/match
44.5%Possessionseason · 25/2559%
3.16 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/256.44 corners/match
4.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲3.68 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/25▲2 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2510 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲44%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna27.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna34.2
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna40
Real Madrid93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna52.5
Real Madrid97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna75
Real Madrid13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Real Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna33.8
Real Madrid70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
39.6%Possession5/557.6%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.7 shots/match
41.9%Possession10/1057.8%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲2.16 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲0.84 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲18.4 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲6.96 shots/match
44.5%Possession25/2559%
3.16 corners/matchCorners25/256.44 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards25/252 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2510 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.92 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots12/13▲17.5 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲6.38 shots/match
47.6%Possession12/1358.2%
3.5 corners/matchCorners12/136.31 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards12/131.46 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls12/139.69 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match