PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

Osasuna

WWDWD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 2–1.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
2.051.69
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Real Madrid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Real Madrid): shots 13–15, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 2.05–1.69, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsOsasuna · Real Madrid18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal MadridBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match18.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsOsasuna 13 shots, Real Madrid 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsOsasuna 2 shots, Real Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG1.69 xGOsasuna 2.05 xG, Real Madrid 1.69 xG
  • Possession39%61%Osasuna 39%, Real Madrid 61%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersOsasuna 3 corners, Real Madrid 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsOsasuna 19 fouls, Real Madrid 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsOsasuna 2 cards, Real Madrid 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

David Alaba · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÁlvaro Carreras · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 82′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 23′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.27 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.47 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 13 shots, 2 on target, 2.07 xG. Real Madrid: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 38′Raúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 2.07 xG · Real Madrid 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Osasuna
1Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga4–0
Osasuna — Real Madrid · La Liga2–4
Real Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna25 matchesReal Madrid25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.16 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 2.29 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 18.4 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 6.96 shots/match
44.5%Possession25/25● 59%
3.16 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.44 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards25/252 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2510 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headOsasuna — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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