UEFA Champions League · 2025Estádio da Luz

Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League

Benfica

LWWLW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.411.11
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Benfica 1–0. Recorded in this match (Benfica – Real Madrid): shots 10–16, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.41–1.11, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Benfica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Benfica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Real Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match19.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsBenfica · Real Madrid19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBenficaReal MadridBaseline
Shots14 shots/match19.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsBenfica 10 shots, Real Madrid 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsBenfica 3 shots, Real Madrid 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG1.11 xGBenfica 0.41 xG, Real Madrid 1.11 xG
  • Possession42%58%Benfica 42%, Real Madrid 58%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersBenfica 3 corners, Real Madrid 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsBenfica 6 fouls, Real Madrid 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Benfica · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTomás Araújo · Benfica · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.01 xG · goalArda Güler · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFredrik Aursnes · Benfica · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Benfica · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArda Güler · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.19 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 19′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Benfica: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.40 xG. Real Madrid: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Benfica 0.40 xG · Real Madrid 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Benfica
0Draws
0Real Madrid
Benfica — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Benfica favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Benfica13 matchesReal Madrid9 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/9▲ 2.44 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed13/91.33 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.23 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots13/9▲ 19.1 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target13/9▲ 7.22 shots/match
47.3%Possession13/9● 58%
5.23 corners/matchCorners13/9● 6.56 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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