UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 17 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

LWDLL

2–0Full-time recap

Atalanta

WWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Atalanta
Shots	9 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.09 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	3 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 9 shots, 2 on target, 2.05 xG. Atalanta: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.05 xG · Atalanta 0.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	2.33 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Atalanta14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Atalanta	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Dortmund

0Draws

0Atalanta

17 Feb 2026Borussia Dortmund — Atalanta · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 5 · 4 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.11 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.33 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.69 xG/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.46 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲14 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11.1 shots/match

4.78 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.67 shots/match

4.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.44 shots/match

53.2%Possessionseason · 9/953%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.22 corners/match

3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/93.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.89 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund67.9

Atalanta65.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund52.5

Atalanta33.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund42.2

Atalanta65.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund13.1

Atalanta48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund52.4

Atalanta20.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund39.3

Atalanta34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund40.8

Atalanta33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.58 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match

53%Possession5/558.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.33 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.69 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲14 shots/match

4.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.67 shots/match

53.2%Possession9/953%

4.44 corners/matchCorners9/94.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.33 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.69 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲14 shots/match

4.78 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.67 shots/match

53.2%Possession9/953%

4.44 corners/matchCorners9/94.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.19 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/550.8%

5 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4