Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 0–2 Atalanta · Serie A

Lazio

WLDWD
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–2.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.021.61
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Lazio 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Atalanta): shots 18–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.02–1.61, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Atalanta14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioAtalantaBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match12 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsLazio 18 shots, Atalanta 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsLazio 5 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG1.61 xGLazio 1.02 xG, Atalanta 1.61 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lazio 50%, Atalanta 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLazio 5 corners, Atalanta 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsLazio 10 fouls, Atalanta 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsLazio 1 card, Atalanta 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Bernasconi · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNuno Tavares · Lazio · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.03 xG · goalDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Lazio · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 20′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatric · Lazio · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Lazio · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHonest Ahanor · Atalanta · 21′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Lazio · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.30 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.05 xG. Atalanta: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Éderson · Atalanta · 41′Nicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.05 xG · Atalanta 1.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
2Draws
1Atalanta
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio25 matchesAtalanta25 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.6 shots/match
50.2%Possession25/25● 54%
3.64 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.64 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards25/251.68 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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