PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como 1–2 Fiorentina · Serie A

Como

DLWWD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 1–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.841.53
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Como 2–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Fiorentina): shots 16–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.84–1.53, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsComo · Fiorentina13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoFiorentinaBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.71 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsComo 16 shots, Fiorentina 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsComo 3 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.53 xGComo 0.84 xG, Fiorentina 1.53 xG
  • Possession67%33%Como 67%, Fiorentina 33%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersComo 4 corners, Fiorentina 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsComo 14 fouls, Fiorentina 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsComo 4 cards, Fiorentina 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Paz · Como · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Como · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Como · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartin Baturina · Como · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · Como · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Como · 77′ · 0.10 xG · goalÁlvaro Morata · Como · 65′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 26′ · 0.55 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 17 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. Fiorentina: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Fabiano Parisi · Como · 77′Nicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 26′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 0.94 xG · Fiorentina 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Como
0Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Como · Coppa Italia1–3
Fiorentina — Como · Serie A1–2
Fiorentina — Como · Serie A0–2
Como — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como24 matchesFiorentina25 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/251.16 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/251.56 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals24/251.55 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots24/2513.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.68 shots/match
62.2% ●Possession24/2552.4%
4.13 corners/matchCorners24/25● 4.72 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards24/252.28 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headComo — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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