Serie A · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

Lazio

DWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusLazio
Shots34 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession63%37%
Corners8 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match4 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/matchShotsJuventus · Lazio11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusLazioBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match11 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.79 shots/match14 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match16.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Juventus
0Draws
1Lazio
LazioJuventus · Serie A10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Lazio in 1 · 5 too close

1.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/241.08 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/240.96 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
16.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2411 shots/match
9.79 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2414 shots/match
6.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.83 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/244.38 shots/match
57.9%Possessionseason · 24/2450.3%
5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/243.58 corners/match
3.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/243.83 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/242.42 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2410.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2446%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2454%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus92.5
Lazio33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus87.5
Lazio40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Lazio7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus22.5
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus87.5
Lazio17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus78.8
Lazio23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20 shots/matchShots5/59.6 shots/match
7.6 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
60.4%Possession5/550.2%
7 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
18.3 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match
7.2 shots/matchShots on target10/103 shots/match
57.9%Possession10/1049.9%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
0.9 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.08 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed24/240.96 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.9 shots/matchShots24/2411 shots/match
6.08 shots/matchShots on target24/243.83 shots/match
57.9%Possession24/2450.3%
5.38 corners/matchCorners24/243.58 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards24/242.42 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.67 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/120.75 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
19.7 shots/matchShots12/129.5 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target12/123.08 shots/match
57.1%Possession12/1250.3%
6 corners/matchCorners12/122.25 corners/match
0.92 cards/matchCards12/122.08 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls12/129.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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