PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
0–5Full-time recap

Inter

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloInter
Shots7 shots/match23 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Possession38%62%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsSassuolo · Inter18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloInterBaseline
Shots11 shots/match18.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match8.33 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%▲PossessionSassuolo · Inter60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloInterBaseline
Possession45.1%60.3%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sassuolo
0Draws
1Inter
Inter — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 4 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲2.38 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲0.79 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲18.4 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲8.33 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲6.29 shots/match
5.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲2.63 shots/match
45.1%Possessionseason · 24/2460.3%
3.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/246.83 corners/match
4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲2.83 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2414 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲54%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲96%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo27.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo37.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo19.2
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo47.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo48.8
Inter38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo22.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo30
Inter90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲21.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8.2 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/565.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.8 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.5 shots/match
44.5%Possession10/1061.7%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲2.38 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲0.79 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots24/24▲18.4 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲6.29 shots/match
45.1%Possession24/2460.3%
3.63 corners/matchCorners24/246.83 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards24/241.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots12/12▲17.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.33 shots/match
46.8%Possession12/1260.4%
3.75 corners/matchCorners12/125.75 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards12/121.58 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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